Q.

An urn contains 7 white and 5 black balls. A ball is drawn at random and is put back into the urn along with 3 additional balls of the same colour as that of the ball drawn. A ball is again drawn at random. Then the probability that the ball drawn is white is

1 732  
2 512  
3 712  
4 1025  

Ans.

(3)

W1=ball drawn in the first draw is white

W2=ball drawn in the second draw is white,  P(W1)=712

P(B1)=512,  P(W2/W1)=1015,  P(W2/B1)=715

P(W2)=P(W1)×P(W2/W1)+P(B1)×P(W2/B1)